Mycobacterium bovis scorecard

2265
Impact
SpreadNotesScore
Spread Rate Tuberculosis was detected in 3 separate herds in 2007. Parts of California have been downgraded from Accredited Free to Modified Accredited Advanced. In the absence of management, TB will likely slowly spread throughout the herd. 3
Spread Amount ince 2002, California has twice lost its Accredited Free status. Due to TB's ability to survive for a long time in the wild in a number of environments, it has the potential to affect most of California's herds. 4
DamageNotesScore
Ecological Has the potential to switch hosts and infect cats, elk, bison, and other animals. However, with a sophisticated eradication program, which California has, the spread is unlikely 2
Agricultural In areas with an eradication program, infection is usually limited to 1 or 2 animals per herd. Yet, these eradication programs are onerous and expensive. Major trade implications. 2
Infrastructure 0
Cultural 0
Health There is little risk of TB passing to humans if the meat is cooked correctly and if the dairy products are pastuerized correctly. California has strict testing facilities, which have kept the public safe from transmission. 1
BenefitNotesScore
Ecological 0
Agricultural 0
Infrastructure 0
Cultural 0
Benefit Health 0
Ability to Respond
Ease of ResponseNotesScore
Detection In developed countries, few infections become symptomatic; most are diagnosed by routine testing or found at the slaughterhouse. 4
Control Its large number of possible hosts, the fact that it often arises in densely populated communities (such as a cow herd), and relative resistance to many disinfectants can make it difficult to control 3
Tools in PlaceNotesScore
Entry here are strict legal prohibitions for trading animals infected with TB. What keeps this from being a "5" is its prevalence in wild animal communities, which are much harder to regulate. 4
Control Eradication is mandated 5
Outreach It seems that California does a good job at keeping the public and its farmers well educated about the risks and regulations for TB. 5
Scorecard Totals
Impact Total:
12
[Impact] = ([Spread] + [Damage] - [Benefit])
Ability to Respond Total:
21
[Ability to Respond] = ([Ease of Response] + [Tools in Place])
Confidence
Confidence:  medium
Notes: